How the Abshire Aggregate Works

We average the latest public poll from each pollster over the last six months. Newer polls, bigger samples, likely-voter polls and higher-rated pollsters count for more. Pick an official below to see exactly which polls are in today's number and how much each one counts.

Official As of

What's included

Public polls that finished in the last 180 days
Only the most recent poll from each pollster
Every poll links to its original source

What counts more

Newer polls (weight halves every 45 days)
Larger samples
Likely voters, then registered voters, then all adults
Pollsters graded A over B or C. Campaign-sponsored polls count half